In part 1 of this series, we examined 7 small cap mutual fund scheme performance against that of the UTI Nifty 50 index fund since 2011. We examined the corpus that each of the small cap schemes and UTI Nifty 50 index fund would garner if we did monthly SIP of INR 5,000 starting from January 2011 and ending at 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and June 2024. So in short starting at Jan 2011 and ending at 12 different periods. Again to remind readers, we are trying to examine the risk by looking at the corpus value at the end of each year. So if the corpus of small cap keeps falling below that of the UTI Nifty 50 Index then it means it has high risk.
The starting point was the same in each of the 12 periods analyzed in Part 1 and hence in Part 2 we examine what if we had started the SIP at a different date, would then then result be significantly different? So in part 2 of this series we have taken two different starting points.
January 1, 2015: 2014 was an excellent year for small caps and hence by starting at January 2015 we eliminate that advantage.
January 1, 2018: 2018 and 2019 were both bad years for small caps, whereas the Nifty fared well in 2019.
The table below shows the corpus accumulated when we start SIP in Jan 2015.
In 8 of the periods evaluated, in 3 periods UTI Nifty 50 is beating the average of the 7 small cap schemes and for the other periods each of the 7 small cap schemes are beating UTI Nifty 50.
The table below shows results when we start SIP in Jan 2018.
In 5 of the periods evaluated, only in the 1st period i.e. 2018 to 2020 the UTI Nifty 50 fund beats the average corpus of the seven selected small cap mutual fund schemes and that too marginally. If, the investor wanted to exit anytime after 2021, then small cap funds would have provided better returns.
As seen in Part 1 of this series, the findings seem to be similar when we even take separate starting points. Now the ending point in all this analysis has been the end of the year NAV. To remove this bias, instead of taking the year end NAV, if we take the lowest NAV of each of the small caps schemes and the UTI NIFTY 50 fund for the next year (lowest NAV means the highest risk level), the result still remains the same. Which means in the long run after consistently doing monthly SIPs, most of the time a basket of small cap schemes would beat the UTI Nifty 50.
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